Wednesday, September 16, 2009

Absolutely (Not) Accurate Emmy Predictions

The Emmys are on Sunday. Gulp.

Yes, Hollywood's most unpredictable (yet boring) awards show will commence before weekend's end. Thank God Neil Patrick Harris is hosting instead of last year's (awful) collection of "reality" show hosts.

Predicting the Emmys is like taking an advanced Calculus test while studying pre-Algebra. You're not likely to do well. Why? Who knows? The voting system is peculiar and ever-changing.

That said, here are my predictions, highlighted in bold:


COMEDY SERIES

Entourage
Family Guy
Flight of the Conchords
How I Met Your Mother
The Office
30 Rock
Weeds

What else?

DRAMA SERIES

Big Love
Breaking Bad
Damages
Dexter
House
Lost
Mad Men

Competitive category, but a safe bet.


ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES

Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
Steve Carell, The Office
Jemaine Clement, Flight of the Conchords
Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory
Tony Shalhoub, Monk
Charlie Sheen, Two and a Half Men

Could go to Jim Parsons, but Emmy voters like to repeat.


ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES
Christina Applegate, Samantha Who?
Toni Collette, United States of Tara
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, The New Adventures of Old Christine
Tina Fey, 30 Rock
Mary Louise Parker, Weeds
Sarah Silverman, The Sarah Silverman Program

Ditto. Number 7 for Fey?


SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES

Jon Cryer, Two and a Half Men
Kevin Dillon, Entourage
Neil Patrick Harris, How I Met Your Mother
Jack McBrayer, 30 Rock
Tracy Morgan, 30 Rock
Rainn Wilson, The Office

How great would it be if the night's emcee nabbed the gold now that Jeremy Piven is out of the way?


SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES

Kristin Chenoweth, Pushing Daisies
Jane Krakowski, 30 Rock
Elizabeth Perkins, Weeds
Amy Poehler, Saturday Night Live
Kristin Wiig, Saturday Night Live
Vanessa Williams, Ugly Betty

A total guess. I wouldn't be surprised if Amy Poehler pulled off an upset. Or maybe Jane Krakowski.


LEAD ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES

Simon Baker, The Mentalist
Gabriel Byrne, In Treatment
Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad
Michael C. Hall, Dexter
Jon Hamm, Mad Men
Hugh Laurie, House

Also wouldn't surprise me if Hamm, Byrne or Laurie prevailed.


ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES

Glenn Close, Damages
Sally Field, Brothers & Sisters
Mariska Hargitay: Law & Order: SVU
Holly Hunter, Saving Grace
Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men
Kyra Sedgwick, The Closer

Duh. How respected is she?


SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES

Christian Clemenson, Boston Legal
Michael Emerson, Lost
William Hurt, Damages
Aaron Paul, Breaking Bad
William Shatner, Boston Legal
John Slattery, Mad Men

Tough call. But voters may want to reward Lost somewhere.


SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES

Rose Byrne, Damages
Hope Davis, In Treatment
Cherry Jones, 24
Sandra Oh, Grey's Anatomy
Dianne Wiest, In Treatment
Chandra Wilson, Grey's Anatomy

She was nominated twice this year - and she's overdue.

2 comments:

Lindsay said...

I didn't see any nominations for True Blood. If you haven't seen it, it's wonderful. Also, I don't know how or why shows like "Two and a Half Men" or "How I Met Your Mother" qualify for Emmy's.

JonTeig99 said...

I still need to see True Blood! I agree on Two and a Half Men, I was glad that didn't get a series nomination this year. How I Met Your Mother is a bit better, I think.